June 12, 2017, 08:34 AM | #126 |
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Frank, what you are saying about perception, especially perception under stress touches on one of the most important issues in criminal justice, imo. Mistaken perception. It runs all the way to the bottom, all the way to final vote.
A totally bogus scenario.. guy at mall says something offensive about the local lacrosse team, other guy punches him in front of ten eyewitnesses. Man who used offensive words gets upper hand, has his attacker in joint lock, attacker has a a high bac, and he is screaming like a little girl with a snake in her hair. Enter Joe average. He sees a chrome plated mini baton in hands of one guy, other is on the ground babbling "DONT KILL ME!" Joe average is carrying a "big bang model 52 in 88 magnum with four inch ported barrel, fifteen count double stack magazine in a grab-it-good nylon holster with four back up clips". Joe average yells DROP THE KNIFE,YOU LOUSY PIECE OF RAT EXCREMENT!" Nobody has a clue. Guy with baton ignores him, and when guy raises his hand with baton (so he can release his attacker, Joe average dumps an e entire magazine into him because he failed to comply and was about to murder the guy on the ground. You got a dead guy who can't tell his story because he's deadc. You got another who has a .16 bac, who can't remember, so he just makes something up and blames the dead guy. Out of The ten witnesses who heard the attacker screaming unintelligible, saw from ten different angles, and only one was standing next to his friend, the lacrosse fan, and he lies too. The case is dependent on two liars, several traumatized witnesses who saw nothing useful, and Joe average walks after an incredibly stupid shooting. Eyewitnesses have been found to be literally useless in many, maybe most criminal cases. .stress tunnels their mind into small details. Joe average sees only part of it, and will always know and act on part of reality. The time is coming when lots of eyewitness testimony isn't even going to make it into court, because juries will stop believing it. And as you say, at every step, every second, stress causes both the man with the gun and the witnesses to lose sight of important parts of the narrative. But the arrogance and unfounded self confidence that people have will push them into doing and saying stupid things. This event may even end in riots that injure hundreds and cause millions of dollars in damages, all because Joe average mistook a chrome drop for a great big knife. I don't really trust anyone anymore.
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June 12, 2017, 09:02 AM | #127 | |
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June 12, 2017, 09:59 AM | #128 | |||||
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Obviously the thread was started with the Oregon incident in mind.. but if I take the scenario strictly as the op put forward then it's pretty simple. Nothing.. you do nothing except deal with any threats directed at you. If it's chaotic then you can not get a clear shot.. and I doubt even a clear view of the person with the gun.. unless you're standing very close in which case you probably already know they did not cause the blood. Someone is bleeding, are they on the ground? sitting down? standing? cant they talk? I didn't hear a shot so what ever caused it probably was not a gun anyway. I can see bloody victim and potential gunmen but this place is "sardine can-like environment" crowded? I don't know about you but I've been in crowds before and after you get about 3 deep it becomes almost impossible to see whats going on up ahead unless you're tall enough to see over the people in front of you. The only thing you could do at that point is deal with threats in your vicinity. You can't have a chaotic crowded space and still be able to see everything the op wants you to see to make a decision on how to act. In situations like that your threat zone has to shrink to something manageable. But lets say for the sake of argument I can clearly observe this CCW'er.. Like I said.. I heard no shot.. and where ever this blood is or came from happen before he drew his gun.. so I'd watch his body language. But I don't think he'd be my primary concern. Tell you a mental exercise I sometimes do is a gunmen in walmart. In Ohio (and this stat is probably out of date) last I read I think we have nearly 600k CHL holders here, adult population ratio breaks down to like 1:20 So that means there is a VERY good chance that im not the only one carrying in a large store like walmart at any given time. A man comes in and starts shooting at random people, I ASSUME another GG w/ Gun is going to show up so I can't just go into "kill anything with a gun" mode. I have to anticipate recognizing and maybe even working with strangers. Are they taking cover behind displays? rifle or handgun? What's their body language are they at a low ready? are they aiming it at people at random? Which direction are they facing? The gun men is likely not taking cover, probably has a long gun, and most likely walking thru the place like they own it because they expect minimal resistance, it's a shooting gallery for them. Good Guys are pretty much never going to have a longun, CHL's only cover handguns in this state and I have NEVER seen someone OC'ing a rifle outside of rallies. The gunmen is likely moving from one end to the other clearing the store, or perhaps pacing the exits, innocent people, CHL holders included are probably facing the direction of the gunfire as they take cover, If they have not already found an exit. At this point you're probably wondering walmart has to do with the OP, and it's simple, you need to recognize a threat.. just having a gun does not = bad guy. Anti-Gunners use that sort of logic to try and combat CC laws saying one person will pull out a gun and then everyone else will and the place will turn into a blood bath.. I can't say that has never happen but I've never heard of it happening if it did. So even the untrained masses seem to be able to control them selves enough to avoid this situation.. or maybe we just don't have enough carriers yet to fully test. .. Then again Florida has well over a million I think so It seems like something should have popped up by now. Anyway back to OP. I can't shot thru this crowd of bodies.. and I would not even draw my gun until I had a clear shot, Pulling out a gun in a elbow to elbow chaotic crowd, good chance im gonna be subdued by 1 or 2 people (similar to the Gabrielle Gifford shooting) and the crowd is probably gonna win any physical struggle. Quote:
How does that help you identify a friendly chl, off duty, or plain clothes cop? Im not accusing, Im genuinely curious. Quote:
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There is nothing wrong with my perception "stress" or not. And it's been my experience that others have no problem with it either, Assuming they was close enough to have actually seen the situation unfold. In Oregon the guy was loud and ranting.. I think he would have had most peoples attention already.. But I know I know we're not really talking about Oregon we're talking about the OP's scenario. I will give it to you, in the op's scenario a person is just suddenly bleeding with no explicable reason.. but apparently im just close enough in this "sardine can-like environment" to see what's going on clearly but not actually close enough to do anything or even understand what Im seeing. The far more likely scenario in a "sardine can-like environment" is I neither see the bloody person or the guy with the gun in which case I deal with threats in my vicinity and not half a car over from me which I can't get to, see, or deal with even if I wanted to. Reminds me of a situation at red-white-boom here in Ohio couple years ago I was down at the bridge where they let the fireworks off (downtown Columbus) I was near a vendor, suddenly the crowd started running like an impromptu 30 meter dash or something. This was not a sardine can-like environment for me, It WAS down in the crowd but I had options. Honestly I was thinking either gunmen or bomb.. or zombies the way the crowd was running. I just hung back and prepared to take cover behind the snack shack if needed. Turns out it was just 2 guys fist fighting, Point is I was too far away to know what was going on and until the crowd parted I couldn't see a damn thing. But they sure knew what was going on down there cause the crowd moved like a herd of buffalo, we're talking probably 50-60 people deep and about 4-5 lanes of road wide. |
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June 13, 2017, 10:29 AM | #129 | |
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Here's an excellent example https://www.policeone.com/police-pro...ideo-released/. 0:01 - 0:34 is probably a typical adrenaline rush. 0:35 - 2:00 is definitely an acute stress response, or a "fight or flight" reaction. Say what you want about the Officer here, he dumped an entire AR mag in a residential neighborhood and apparently didn't disable the gunman, but unless you've been there, you just haven't been there. There is no amount or type of training that is going to be able to realistically replicate that type of stress. That being said, if you really wanted to recreate this scenario with the most realistic stress that can be had in training, I'd recommend the following: Find a way to get your hands on a shock knife and a sim gun. Get a few people together. Your aggressor gets to wear the maximum amount of protective clothing (helmet, mask, padding, vests, gloves), your CCW carrier and your victims get minimal protective clothing (safety glasses or just a mask). Your CCW holder gets absolutely no heads up on what is going to happen, just that he/she is in a force on force scenario. Have them enter the room and go live. Brief argument followed by fighting and slicing. If your CCW holder reacts perfectly, there will be a minimum amount of pain experienced by your victims. If he finds in difficult to make a decision or make accurate shots with the movement, your victims are probably going to end up with some nasty bleeding welts, some burn makes from the shock knife, and a poor yelp review of their hero. |
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June 13, 2017, 11:55 AM | #130 | |||
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I kinda already touched on hearing loss & vision changes. have you? and if you have should we take it as anything other then anecdotal since perhaps you didn't piss your self? Quote:
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You know you're walking into this situation.. it's much different when it spontaneously happens. |
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June 13, 2017, 12:57 PM | #131 | |
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And as far as the training goes, no, I clearly stated nothing can realistically replicate a deadly force scenario. It is much different when it happens spontaneously, people perform worse. But it's as close as you could ever get, and if you put your money where your mouth is, put it together, and tried it, you'd learn some things about yourself that no amount of bickering on the internet can teach you. Of course, it's easier to dismiss that it "won't work". If you do it, post a video. We'd love to see it. |
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June 13, 2017, 07:15 PM | #132 |
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I've never been in LE but I know what I'd like to think I'd do. Leave the concealed weapon where it is until you have a clear shot! You pull it out and can't use it you are only showing the bad guy's where the guns are. You might be surprised at how much even a worse position the bad guy might take. Now, one thing that might make me hesitate if I am not threatened. I've read to much about how the guy with the CCW take's some bad guy out and save's live's only to lose everything he has when the bad guy's family sue's him. Win or lose, it'll cost a fortune.
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June 13, 2017, 08:09 PM | #133 |
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That's why I divorced my wife and transferred all of my assets to her when I started packing Li'l Abner everywhere I went. I still may lose everything if I make her mad enough, but hopefully I won't lose it to a bad guy's family.
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June 14, 2017, 11:20 AM | #134 | ||||
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I respect your honesty. Quote:
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The effects of stress is not really what I debate, I already listed some of the effects, many I have felt personally. My previous points was most people are not going to crumble to the point where they can't move, can't act, can't comprehend what they are seeing (even if they don't know how to deal with it) The effects are often so overstated in these discussions as to turn perfectly sober people into 2am drunks. That's what I take with issue. We're constantly hearing about people who have zero experience with guns defending them selves, Im reminded of one incident I hear about a year back (i think) of a housewife who used a 38 revolver (not sure if it was 5 or 6 shot) on a burglar.. 100% hit rate, granted we're talking she was probably 5-6 feet away but most shootings are close range anyway.. If the effects of stress and adrenaline was really so pronounce as some make it out to be we would not hear of so many success stores by ordinary people. So I hope you can understand my point on this. Ya I'll get right on it |
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June 14, 2017, 12:32 PM | #135 | |
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Be that as it may we are not discussing the defender who has no reasonable option of retreat left. For me this discussion centers around the premeditated decision to advance against a threat versus a perceived safe retreat. Some CCW holders believe that they should "run in when everyone else is running out" to borrow a phrase from first responders. I am not of that persuasion and would argue in the case being discussed that it is unlikely for a CCW holder to actually make the situation better and there is plenty of opportunity to make it worse and / or present said CCW to further dangers (a police response, a response of another CCW holder, criminal or civil liability). Personally I believe these decisions are best made in advance. The armed citizen who defends him or herself when given no option is not necessarily relevant to the discussion in regards to that decision and serves only as an aside that not "all hope is lost". Those of us who carry guns, even if we do not advocate aggressive action in the situation being discussed, carry them because "we would rather have them and not need them then not have them and need them." Many if not most of those citizen defending themselves situations come into the no other option category |
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June 14, 2017, 12:40 PM | #136 | |||
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June 14, 2017, 12:45 PM | #137 | |
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June 14, 2017, 01:48 PM | #138 | |||||||
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After she emptied the gun he told her "please stop" He then left and got in his truck which was found wrecked off the road a few blocks away with him inside, I don't recall if he lived or died. Quote:
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But If I clearly could see what was going on then I would not turn a blind eye if I could help. The counter argument to that is that you can somehow be both paying attention and be in close proximity to an incident and simply not be able to comprehend what you're seeing because of "stress" I reject that assortment in all but the most extreme cases and of a minority of individuals. I don't really know what make of the op's scenario since it sounds like it's too crowded to actually see anything (sardine can environment) contrary though we're suppose to see a potential gunmen and a bloody victim.. which seems to me to send mixed messages on the level of occupancy. Quote:
IMO successfully defending your self is going to be about 90% mental and 10% skill.. yes long and/or precise shots require a certain level of skill. Most SD situations are not long or precise. It's impossible to pre-decide for every scenario.. or hell maybe for ANY scenario. I think mental what-if exercises help. But fundamentally it boils down to a single question.. could you shoot and potentially kill another human being? I think this question needs to be asked and with self reflection honestly answered before ever carrying a gun. The WILL to use the gun is the majority of the equation. Quote:
Armed or not I would help when ever I can that does not mean certain death for my self. I try to do good deeds when I can, Because I treat people the way I would hope to be treated. If I was in trouble I would hope someone would help me. Quote:
Im sure there are many households with loaded guns where the person who ends up using it is not the one who loaded it. How many times has a man pushed a gun onto a woman because they think it will keep them safe even though they have no interest in guns? Quote:
How many out there do not even carry regularly let alone practice? It's once incident I listed, did you wan the world's historical record of self defense shootings? I do think there are a few sites that track such shootings.. or at least ones that make the news. I am not gonna bust my hump looking for them but I will take a gander later and see if I can hunt a few down for you. I do not know how many do not turn out well.. I call tell you it's fewer then the ones that do.. but hard numbers? records? sorry I don't have those figures.. maybe you can find them and share cause it would be interesting to know the hard numbers. Last edited by JoeSixpack; June 14, 2017 at 01:58 PM. |
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June 14, 2017, 02:01 PM | #139 | |
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I agree it is impossible to predetermine your exact actions but it is possible to prioritize. For instance I prioritize retreat assuming that the perception of that retreat is not an increase in danger and violence only as an absolute last resort. My delay to violence may actually be to the point of being a tactical fault but I have made peace with that. I have also made peace with my conscious and the concept of allowing "innocent and helpless" to fend for themselves though I do make the exception in my mind for children |
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June 15, 2017, 08:27 PM | #140 |
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Working through different scenarios in your mind, like active day dreaming can go a long way to influence your learned behavior. Being able to see the threat, before it is deadly and knowing how to avoid what might be coming next or what you will do if things go south and you need to act to save your life can help diminish the adrenalin rush and acting is always better than reacting.
Your mind is a great tool when combined with physical work towards the same goal. The ones who don't believe it will happen to them are the ones that will be in defensive reaction mode. Those are the people who don't perform well.If instead of saying, "it will never happen to me" you ponder on it to see what your options would be. Live through it a few times in your mind trying different things until you are confident that if, when, it does happen it won't be a complete surprise. |
June 16, 2017, 09:35 AM | #141 | |
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June 16, 2017, 10:50 AM | #142 |
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I agree. I think one of the most useful things a person can do is to analyze the places they go frequently - home, work, church, favorite restaurants, and so on - with the idea of planning defense. (If a bad guy comes in that door, I have this and that for cover; if they are at the cash register, those and them. My lines of fire are going to be thus and such, and I will need to watch for people entering my line from these directions.) While it is true that nothing like that ever goes according to a script, that does not mean that giving advance thought to such things will not be helpful. Personally, I tend to think in a highly analytical way, which could mean that I would react more slowly if I hadn't thought about things in advance.
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June 16, 2017, 01:15 PM | #143 | |
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June 16, 2017, 04:46 PM | #144 |
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Along those lines know where the exits are, Try to sit with a good view of the main entrance.
I personally prefer to have my back to a wall if I can as well. If you're with a group and have to sit in a booth try to get a outside seat. Remember the difference between cover and concealment.. large serving tables "might" provide cover, your table will only provide concealment. 9mm handgun will go right thru both car door on any off-the-line production vehicle. Only reasonably safe spot is by the engine. They most certainly will go thru inch pressed wood like it ain't there. Most partitions in restaurants and interior walls are usually just hollow drywall/2x4's. much like you'd find at home. |
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