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If somebody comes to carjack you; most likely, they approached so quickly, that they already had a gun drawn before you noticed them.
As for getting robbed at knifepoint. The first occasion I was age 10, and the second I was age 13. This happened, "whilst growing up."
I hate to break it to you, but most prey for criminals are going to be, "the most vulnerable people."
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Vulnerability has nothing to do with saying that most folks survive an encounter that lethal force was justified but not used. That is putting your life in their hands.
As for the carjacker.......its called situational awareness. There is no most likely. I may be more aware than you and less aware that another. If I'm being aware there will be no sneak attack from a gun weilding foe period.