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I think the point being missed is that having an exit wound doesn't hurt your odds.
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It doesn't improve them either, as far as I can tell.
Which puts an exit wound into the category of "if you can get it for free it's probably not a bad thing."
Of course, penetration isn't free, as I pointed out in my first post on this thread. In other words, if it takes bumping up the momentum (and therefore recoil) by 10% to insure that you always get an exit wound, that definitely wouldn't be worthwhile. But if you can up the momentum by 1% and always get an exit, then I guess it's probably not an issue.
Of course, if the round is already penetrating 12" to 18" in a proper test protocol (involving intermediate barriers, clothed/unclothed/heavy clothing/sheet metal/glass/plywood) then you're already getting everything you need and upping the penetration even further is just costing you recoil with no demonstrable return.