The Firing Line Forums - View Single Post - What exactly happens when you hit somebody with over 1,000lumens at night?

MLeake · September 18, 2013, 01:11 PM

Actually, if the odds of a coin flip are 50/50, then for any given toss they are 50/50.

But, over 10,000 tosses, one would expect to see heads about 5,000 times.

IE, you are changing the math to suit your argument, when the numbers do not support it.

As far as months, not years, then the odds of a crime against person remain very low, yet still twice as high as those of a car wreck in that same short period.

Again, would the OP be paranoid for wearing his seat belt?

September 18, 2013, 01:11 PM	#52
MLeake Senior Member Join Date: November 15, 2007 Location: Outside KC, MO Posts: 10,128	Actually, if the odds of a coin flip are 50/50, then for any given toss they are 50/50. But, over 10,000 tosses, one would expect to see heads about 5,000 times. IE, you are changing the math to suit your argument, when the numbers do not support it. As far as months, not years, then the odds of a crime against person remain very low, yet still twice as high as those of a car wreck in that same short period. Again, would the OP be paranoid for wearing his seat belt?