Sotomayor would only have to recuse herself if Maloney was combined with Chicago.
As for a 4-4 tie, in that case the decision of the lower court is upheld; but the case has no precedential value. It is effectively the same as if SCOTUS had denied cert. From a practical standpoint we would be hosed though because Sotomayor wouldn't have to recuse herself on the next case and we would lose 5-4. Likely the makeup of the Court isn't going to improve in the next 4 years and another case would almost surely make it to the Court before then.
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