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"SO, what are your personal expectations about what is an "early death""
I didn't realize how subjective this actually is, but you make very good points.
I guess my idea of an early death would be anything that costs more to fix, than replacing the rifle as a whole ($600 in this case). Cracked/broken trunnions, receiver cracking, head spacing issues, bore wear going from 2-3 moa to 6+ moa. Pretty, much anything that would involve a machinist level work.
For what I've got I'd be happy with it getting to 20k rounds and disappointed if any of the above happen at 10k or less.
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