View Single Post
Old December 25, 2012, 08:58 PM   #256
Merad
Senior Member
 
Join Date: October 5, 2011
Posts: 350
Quote:
Not if teachers were allowed to carry it wouldn't be unrealistic.
You seem to be assuming that all teachers would carry if the option were available. Being from a family of teachers and knowing quite a few of them, I'd say that your average teacher is much less likely to carry than the general population. For the sake of argument though, let's assume that they would carry at basically the same rate as the general population:

In 2011 the GAO estimated around 8 million CHL's in the US. We'll round up to 10 million. With a US population of 310 million, that means that about 3.2% of the population holds a CHL. Generally, the discussions I see/hear on the topic conclude that well under 50% of CHL holders actually carry on a regular basis, but for the sake of argument let assume that they all carry regularly.

So, in an average sized school with 50 staff members, at a carry rate of 3.2%, you can expect perhaps 1 or 2 people to be carrying. Bear in mind also that if they're teachers, their responsibility is to stay in their classroom with their students, so their CHL only helps if the shooter actually comes to their classroom.

Bottom line, allowing teachers to carry would be unlikely to actually stop a school shooting.
Merad is offline  
 
Page generated in 0.02262 seconds with 8 queries