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This will turn on a handful of purple states. And the target of the bill is not the efficacy of certain gun laws but a) fundraising for the gun control lobby, and b) the upcoming Presidential, Senate and House election campaigns.
The gun control lobby has matured and has an effective strategy. These bills help them use dark c4 and charitable c3 for defacto but not de jure electioneering. This bill is win-win for them because background check "improvement" and "red flag poll" and survey very very well.
Every Republican in a purple district/ state (and electoral college is purple for trump too) will be harmed no matter what they do, probably more harmed by voting against.
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IMO the smart play on such bills is for the leadership to defang them or reduce impact -- or poison pill them as was intelligently done using reciprocity.
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