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July 23, 2011, 10:47 PM | #26 |
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I would hope that someone in the Whitehouse can count. that was 44 Senators (both of mine) that signed that letter!
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July 23, 2011, 11:23 PM | #27 |
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Both of mine too.
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July 24, 2011, 02:02 AM | #28 |
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45 by my count; but conspicuously absent on the letter were many "pro-Second Amendment" Dems like Max Baucus, Harry Reid, Joe Manchin etc. In fact, it looks like the 45 names were almost all Republicans, including Rs I'd normally count as weak on gun rights like Olympia Snowe.
However, the good news is even if that list represents all we can count on, then we could still survive as many as 11 defections and defeat any treaty ratification. |
July 24, 2011, 07:18 AM | #29 | ||
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The proposed arms treaty is no threat to our Second amendment rights. As much as i like the NRA; i've been a member for well over 50 years, that organization is wrong on this issue.
From the proposed treaty: Quote:
No treaty can trump the US Constitution. Quote:
Reid vs Covert: http://www.constitution.org/ussc/354-001a.htm |
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July 24, 2011, 07:26 AM | #30 | ||
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Quote:
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July 24, 2011, 11:10 AM | #31 |
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Well, I'd agree and disagree. As long as the continue to include the regulation of civilian arms inside a country,the treaty is a threat to our rights. As this letter makes clear, it isn't a serious threat because it will never be ratified by the current Senate; just as CIFTA hasn't been ratified in over a decade.
While relying on the Constitution adds an additional fallback position, the problem there is we were just one vote away from not having an individual right at all. There are at least 3, probably 4, votes on the Court right now who would likely have no trouble finding a UN Arms Treaty constitutional. I think the NRA has a good approach on this. Both the UN and the White House know what is realistic. We can now see what their response is. |
July 24, 2011, 03:37 PM | #32 | ||
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Quote:
Quote:
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July 24, 2011, 04:48 PM | #33 |
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It 2011 and the treaty did not see the light of day in 2010. Obama and the Dems have too many front burner issues right now. There is no way this thing will be drug up until after the 2012 election if Obama wins a second term. Even with that if the election for Congress does not go Obama's way you will probably never see the treaties for a while.
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July 24, 2011, 05:43 PM | #34 | |
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Quote:
Keep in mind, the treaty referenced in the Senate letter is the Arms Trade Treaty, not the Inter-American Treaty Last edited by Bartholomew Roberts; July 24, 2011 at 05:48 PM. |
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July 24, 2011, 06:08 PM | #35 | |
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Notwithstanding
Quote:
i.e., nothing to the contrary in the Constitution can "withstand" a treaty. |
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July 24, 2011, 06:15 PM | #36 | |
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Notwithstanding
Quote:
I believe that the above-underlined clause means that such a treaty would trump State constitutions. I do not think it means that the UN treaty would trump the United States Constitution. That does, however, present it's own set of problems.
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July 24, 2011, 06:22 PM | #37 | ||
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Quote:
Quote:
Snopes on the proposed treaty: http://www.snopes.com/politics/guns/untreaty.asp factcheck: http://factcheck.org/2009/12/interna...un-ban-treaty/ Last edited by thallub; July 24, 2011 at 06:27 PM. |
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July 24, 2011, 06:25 PM | #38 |
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Yes, but the language quoted by poptime is from the US Constitution.
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July 24, 2011, 07:34 PM | #39 | |
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Quote:
This is the UN document that set the ground work for the proposed treaty. Look at the bottom paragraph on page 1. http://www.disarm.emb-japan.go.jp/st...t/N0958107.pdf |
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July 24, 2011, 08:19 PM | #40 | |
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Quote:
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July 24, 2011, 08:25 PM | #41 | |
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July 24, 2011, 09:56 PM | #42 | |
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This last week, a large number of countries basically insisted the final treaty (which has not been drafted) require member states to adopt registration and restrictions on internal civilian sales as well. That view seems to be tempered by those nations who understand this will be both unworkable and kill the treaty; but the potential is there for a threat to our Second Amendment rights. |
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July 25, 2011, 09:44 AM | #43 | |
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It takes an amendment. |
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July 25, 2011, 10:03 AM | #44 | |
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Problem #1 is that at least 3 of the existing Supreme Court Justices (and likely 4 if we include Kagan) do not believe that an individual right to bear arms even exists in the Constitution. So they would have no problem finding this treaty constitutional if it were challenged in the Supreme Court. That leaves us either one or two votes away from losing if one of the majority from Heller is replaced by someone with a different view. Problem #2 is that in the past week, several of the nations made calls for centralized registration of all firearms as a part of the treaty. So far, no case has challenged the constitutionality of registration of firearms and in fact, the argument that it is constitutional is good enough that even with no change in the current SCOTUS line-up, we might still lose that vote. Right now, our biggest advantage is that the Senate hasn't shown the slightest inclination to ratify this treaty or any other arms treaty. For that reason alone, I don't consider the Arms Trade Treaty a very serious threat; but I don't think we should be complacent about it either. The reason it isn't a threat is because Senators on both sides understand that would cost them their jobs. We want to continue to make sure they don't forget that point. |
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July 28, 2011, 12:32 PM | #45 |
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Just in case you were wondering if the current Administration has changed its stance, they decided to clarify by making it clear they would continue to push Congress to ratify both CIFTA and the UN Small Arms Trade Treaty when it is presented (page 15-16):
http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/defa..._July_2011.pdf |
July 31, 2011, 12:40 PM | #46 |
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A bit belated, but here's a link to an article on the NRAILA website about the Senate letters to the Obama Administration expressing opposition to the ATT as it currently stands.
There are TWO letters, the one from Senator Moran (R - KA) mentioned above, with 45 signatories, and one from Senator Tester (D - MT), with 13. I guess the Dems don't want to sign on to a Republican letter (they might seem bipartisan? Get cooties? I dunno...). 58 opposed... If this number doesn't change, due to defection, election, etc., the ATT will never pass. |
August 1, 2011, 08:50 AM | #47 |
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Thanks for the update Dan_F, I was initially disappointed to see that none of the NRA-endorsed Dems signed the letter. I'm glad to learn that it was just a format thing and that those Senators didn't place party over the Second Amendment.
As you point out though, it means that as a practical reality, neither CIFTA nor a UN Small Arms Trade treaty incorporating civilian firearms will ever be ratified. A treaty would need 66 votes in the Senate to be ratified and an agreement would need 50. With 58 Senators on our side and on the record, we can still defeat ratification of these types of treaties, even if as many as 20 Senators defected. Looking to the longer term 2012-election view, here is a quick list of the 2012 elections. Senators who signed the NRA letter are in bold: RETIRING: 1. Joe Lieberman CT 2. Daniel Akaka HI 3. Jeff Bingaman - NM 4. Kent Conrad - ND 5. Jim Webb - VA 6. Herb Kohl - WI 7. Jon Kyl - AZ 8. Kay Bailey Hutchison - TX UP FOR REELECTION: 1. Diane Feinstien - CA 2. Tom Carper - DE 3. Bill Nelson - FL 4. Ben Cardin - MD 5. Debbie Stabenow - MI 6. Amy Klobuchar - MN 7. Claire McCaskill - MO 8. Jon Tester - MT 9. Ben Nelson - NE 10. Bob Menendez - NJ 11. Kirsten Gillibrand - NY 12. Sherrod Brown - OH 13. Bob Casey, Jr. - PA 14. Sheldon Whitehouse - RI 15. Bernie Sanders - VT 16. Maria Cantwell - WA 17. Joe Manchin - WV 18. Richard Lugar - IN 19. Olympia Snowe - ME 20. Scott Brown - MA 21. Roger Wicker - MI 22. Dean Heller - NV 23. Bob Corker - TN 24. Orrin Hatch - UT 25. John Barrasso - WY As you can see, out of 33 seats up for election in 2012, only 15 Senators who signed that letter face a reelection challenge. That means even if the antis are successful in a clean sweep of every pro-RKBA Senator who signed the letter (which would entail the unlikely task of unseating long-term incumbents and replacing them with antis in states like MT, WY, TX, etc.) WITHOUT losing a single one of the other 18 races, they still wouldn't have the votes necessary to ratify a treaty if these Senators hold true to their signed pledge. So as a realistic threat, it looks like neither of these treaties are going anywhere until 2014 at the earliest (and even that would require some unlikely wins by the antis in 2012). |
August 24, 2011, 10:55 AM | #48 |
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Chuck Norris on Treaty - http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0811/61942.html
Surprising for that site.
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August 25, 2011, 06:25 PM | #49 |
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http://www.newsmax.com/US/Norris-Oba...8/24/id/408533
mike irwin, I saw the last post on my thread...can you expand what you mentioned about Chuck misrepresenting what the treaty would do? I am interested in this.
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August 25, 2011, 07:01 PM | #50 | |
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For over 50 years i've been an NRA member active in the fight against gun control.
What Norris is saying is absolutely not true. Norris and others who talk this stuff are pandering to the large number of US citizens who have no idea how our gov't works. Lies and rumors detract folks attention from the real threats to our 2nd Amendment rights. 1. There is no treaty. 2. There will be no treaty before next year. 3. If there is a treaty it will have the following caveat: Quote:
http://caselaw.lp.findlaw.com/script...vol=354&page=1 This stuff has been flying around since early 2009. Someone ginned up a lie, posted it on the web and it went viral. This one from last year claimed that the treaty was signed: http://www.snopes.com/politics/guns/untreaty.asp Last edited by thallub; August 25, 2011 at 07:12 PM. |
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