how accurate in NFA TRACKER DOT COM?

CCCLVII · November 24, 2012, 01:00 PM

I was looking at the tracker http://www.randominfo.net/NFA/NfaWait.php

it looks like I have a 13% chance to get my suppressor in Feb 77% chance to get it in March and a 8% chance in Apr.

are these numbers accurate?

p.s. My status went pending 11/14/12

Captains1911 · November 25, 2012, 09:16 AM

According to that calculator 99% of people would have received the stamp I'm awaiting, check cashed 6/5. So either it's not accurate or I'm having bad luck.

medalguy · November 25, 2012, 09:40 PM

It's accurate as far as the limited information shown goes. Most transfers are not listed, and who knows how many are never updated if the form is returned for a problem, or is completed and the person making the listing simply failed to update it.

rjrivero · November 26, 2012, 10:54 AM

It's only as accurate as the information it receives. It uses past data processing times to predict current wait times. Those times are constantly in flux which will limit the accuracy of the tracker. Suffice it to say it's right around 6 months currently on form 4's.

Guilty · November 26, 2012, 04:31 PM

The NFA tracker relies on users submitting data. My last suppressor that was approved early October was about 6 months to the day from when my check was cashed.

November 24, 2012, 01:00 PM	#1
CCCLVII Senior Member Join Date: April 16, 2012 Location: Idaho Posts: 432	how accurate in NFA TRACKER DOT COM? I was looking at the tracker http://www.randominfo.net/NFA/NfaWait.php it looks like I have a 13% chance to get my suppressor in Feb 77% chance to get it in March and a 8% chance in Apr. are these numbers accurate? p.s. My status went pending 11/14/12 __________________ Always looking for a good hunt!

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November 25, 2012, 09:16 AM	#2
Captains1911 Senior Member Join Date: November 18, 2009 Location: West of the Blue Ridge, VA Posts: 684	According to that calculator 99% of people would have received the stamp I'm awaiting, check cashed 6/5. So either it's not accurate or I'm having bad luck.

November 25, 2012, 09:40 PM	#3
medalguy Senior Member Join Date: August 31, 2009 Location: New Mexico Posts: 1,033	It's accurate as far as the limited information shown goes. Most transfers are not listed, and who knows how many are never updated if the form is returned for a problem, or is completed and the person making the listing simply failed to update it.

November 26, 2012, 10:54 AM	#4
rjrivero Senior Member Join Date: November 17, 2008 Location: NW Ohio Posts: 1,399	It's only as accurate as the information it receives. It uses past data processing times to predict current wait times. Those times are constantly in flux which will limit the accuracy of the tracker. Suffice it to say it's right around 6 months currently on form 4's.

November 26, 2012, 04:31 PM	#5
Guilty Member Join Date: November 9, 2012 Posts: 54	The NFA tracker relies on users submitting data. My last suppressor that was approved early October was about 6 months to the day from when my check was cashed.