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The market hasn't changed since 1986. All the forces you mention were in it since then. The market has adjusted already.
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Actually, the market changed dramatically several years ago.
Trusts. Before people used trusts to get around the CLEO sign-off they had to set up LLC's or Corporations. This wasn't that big of a problem because a lot more CLEO's would sign off 20 years ago. With use of Trusts, almost anyone can own a machine gun, I think with the exception of folks living in Illinois. The use of trusts has really expanded the NFA market.