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I would posit that the large scale manufacture of commercial and mil-spec ammunition within a single factory is a far more complicated enterprise than most of us could possibly fathom, especially when the economics of it are factored into the equation. Therefore, it strikes me as quite simplistic to take two independent phenomena (ie big gummint order A and retail shortage in similar/same caliber(s) B) and fully understand the complex relationship (and, quite possibly, non-relationship) between the two. This is especially true since we simply do not know things like distributor and retail seller inventories, order patterns, historical backlog, current demand trends (though we know they are certainly at high levels), etc. And we have no idea how close these manufacturing plants are to manufacturing capacity, whether there are upstream supply chain issues, etc.
Economics is a complex enterprise, kids. Especially when one of the parties is the US government.
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