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I don't think they'll do it with taxes. As pointed out it's been difficult to get ammo tax laws passed.
On the other hand the strategy of making ammunition much more expensive by outlawing inexpensive ingredients and forcing the use of more expensive, less suitable ingredients has been pretty successful.
Expect a concerted push to ban lead in ammunition. Lead-free ammunition is more expensive, and it is my understanding that ammunition with lead-free primers has shorter shelf-life.
And who can object to banning lead? It's for the ducks. It's for the condors. It's for the CHILDREN...
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