Machiavelli, Mahan, Sun Tzu, to name a few...
... are all pretty much agreed on this:
Plan for your enemies capabilities, not his apparent intentions.
It isn't that having an idea of intentions isn't useful, but you can't assess them nearly as accurately as you can assess capabilities. If your plan hinges on the BG having non-violent intentions in the end game, then it doesn't work so well if your assessment was not valid.
I'd rather let them count on my mercy, than vice versa.
Cheers,
M
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