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One only has to look at what plans were hatched just to get the health bill passed. First it was the super majority 60 votes, then when that was lost because of the Scott Brown win it became a simple majority of 50 +1. When the House was in danger of growing a spine and rejecting this bill it became a up or down vote on the previous vote and not the bill itself, then it became the invocation of the Slaughter rule, etc, etc, etc.
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That may be true, but the Constitution requires a 2/3 majority in the Senate to ratify a treaty. Period. There's no leeway for manipulation of procedural rules like there is for domestic legislation.
IMHO in this political climate, it's extraordinarily unlikely that the administration can muster a 2/3 majority of Senators to vote "Yea" on a treaty that would substantially infringe on the RKBA. OTOH I still think it's important to read the details of any treaty proposal very carefully, particularly with regards to Mexico. A Mexican treaty offers more potential carrots to dangle in front of left-leaning Republican senators than a UN treaty would.