The Firing Line Forums - View Single Post - Ten-year trend

Ike666 · February 8, 2013, 08:54 AM

It is similar to a moving average but it is actually locally smoothed trend (regression) line plotting NICS (Y) against Time (X).

I'd also like to re-ask my original question(s). This is a dramatic rise in NICS checks. We are using it as a general interest in firearms indicator (NICS checks measure a lot more than just sales, such as permit applications and so on). What we are really interested in are the social forces that are driving this phenomenon.

I've been a shooter my whole life (6 decades now) and I have never seen such widespread interest in guns, shooting, shooting sports, hunting, personal defense, and such.

The scientist in me wants to know, Why and Why now?

February 8, 2013, 08:54 AM	#18
Ike666 Senior Member Join Date: October 10, 2009 Location: SW VA Posts: 491	It is similar to a moving average but it is actually locally smoothed trend (regression) line plotting NICS (Y) against Time (X). I'd also like to re-ask my original question(s). This is a dramatic rise in NICS checks. We are using it as a general interest in firearms indicator (NICS checks measure a lot more than just sales, such as permit applications and so on). What we are really interested in are the social forces that are driving this phenomenon. I've been a shooter my whole life (6 decades now) and I have never seen such widespread interest in guns, shooting, shooting sports, hunting, personal defense, and such. The scientist in me wants to know, Why and Why now? __________________ ___________________ "I'm your huckleberry." Last edited by Ike666; February 8, 2013 at 09:03 AM. Reason: added statement