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Gaseous, like Sarge wondering about his '57, if you're right, I've got some Pre 64s I need to consider selling! A check on local Backpage ads might also give a "closer-to'reality" check on average Pre 64s. As someone else suggested, what some are asking on GB and what they're actually selling for (there or elsewhere) eventually can be two drastically different things. I agree the prices are up in many areas, but not $1,200 (sold) unless it's NIB or darn close (and I may be wrong even about that), not for a late 1940s-1964 gun IMHO.
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the $1200+ price point I came across was through gunbroker and this was over a month ago...maybe two months. I thought the whole thing was suspicious and I would be inclined to agree with you that for $1200 I'd expect a pristine NIB pre-64 and nothing less. I think a more realistic price for a like-new pre-64 might be around the $700-800 range. I guess auction sites aren't really a good place to determine fair prices on Win 94's, as most of them are overpriced, especially the post 64 variants.