One thing that is missing in the bolt thrust calculations is the friction of the case on the chamber. I have no idea how much of that calculated thrust is "absorbed" by the fact that the case is stuck to the sides of the chamber quite hard during firing, but I would expect it to be a considerable proportion. The only reason you can eject a fired case afterward is the fact that the case springs back a bit after firing and releases itself. It takes a hammer to get a stuck case loose if an over loaded round is fired. That friction absorbs thrust.
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