Jeff,
While that may true in your metropolitan areas, I think out in the country (where most PDs/SDs are... and where there are new SRTs springing up everyday) we will see an increase in SMGs. I am certianly seeing an increase in SMGs at rural departments that used to feel they were adequately tactical because they had an M16 or an AC556 locked in a cabinet at the HQ.
As a percentage, they may stay the same or even decrease, but I think the raw numbers of SMGs will rise.. at least for a while.
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