The points made are that the votes don't exist, memory fades, Biden sees the political risk, etc.
Background checks are likely - I said a bit ago that what we would see are NICS for private sales at guns shows and tuning up the ajudication reports. Still feel that way.
I would hope if that is the legislative outcome, that some positive gun things be introduced. I have suggested (to the gun gods) that if NICS becomes universal then it should override state provisions for waiting periods and bans on weapons type like MA or NY or CA, etc. If NICS is good enough in TX to buy an AR, it should be good enough for Cuomo.
The thing to really worry about is mag bans but I don't see them. But if we get NICS, let's override those nervous nellies of New York, for instance.