Flawed data? No. Not in the least.
It is not data at all.
As stated in the OP, it was an exercise in theoretical statistics. Its applicability to real-world situations is limited to to the clearly stated goals of that exercise.
It is eye-opening and I thank JohnKSa for posting it. It has wide and valid applications to the planning of tactics and weapons choices if one stays aware of the limitations of simulations. Don't try to make it what it isn't. If you use it for what it is, it is VERY useful.
JohnKSa, I do think it would be useful as a sticky (with a warning that it is not intended to take into account the psychology of opponents). I would put it into the Tactics and Training forum, though.
Thanks for posting it. Would you be willing to share the formulas?