One of my friends was murdered years ago in a home invasion by a couple of drug dealers that were going after a guy that shorted them in a drug deal. They went into the wrong house, ansd were shooting first. They murdered a 17 year old honor student two weeks away from graduating high school. This was in a town where pretty much the only felonies that happened were DUI's, or the rare occasion that they found in drugs in a car they pulled over.
Bad things can happen in good neighborhoods too, or in those middle of nowhere towns as well.
No matter how many times you do it and nothing happens it only takes something going wrong one time to kill you.