I like your analysis. Gun Control legislation seems to offer a lot more negative to elected officials than it does positives. If Obama overplays his hand then he too will soon have a Republican Congress to deal with. I think he is smarter than that. BUT, that doesn't mean if he gets the chance to do something he won't try.
"God and the Soldier we adore, in time of trouble but not before. When the danger's past and the wrong been righted, God is forgotten and the Soldier slighted."